Week 10 TNF: Raiders-Broncos Preview, Props, Prediction
Thu Nov 6 2:35pm ET
Field Level Media
The Denver Broncos can become the first NFL team to reach the eight-win mark when they play host to the Las Vegas Raiders on Thursday night to open Week 10.
The Broncos have been kings of late comebacks while surprisingly being tied for the best record in the NFL. Denver (7-2) seeks its seventh straight victory when it faces its longtime AFC West rivals.
Las Vegas (2-6) has dropped six of its past seven games, including a 30-29 home overtime loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars last Sunday.
ODDS AND TRENDS
The Broncos are consensus 9.0-point favorites. That includes at BetRivers, where they have been backed by 64% of the spread-line money. Denver has covered the spread in each of its past four games as the favorite against AFC West rivals.
Denver's moneyline sat at -500 on Thursday afternoon but that hadn't dissuaded the public, which has backed the Broncos with 90% of the total ML bets and 95% of the money.
The total points line of 43.0 has seen the Over supported by 54% of the money. Seven of the Raiders' past eight road games against AFC West teams have gone Under the total points line.
PROP PICKS
--Broncos QB Bo Nix 200+ Passing Yards (-207 at DraftKings): This has been the most popular player prop at the book, with Nix throwing for at least 242 yards in four of his past six games. While better potential payouts are available on 210+ (-155), 220+ (-118), 230+ (+110) and 240+ (+145), there is cause to be cautious considering the likelihood of Denver leaning heavier on the ground when the game gets comfortably in hand.
--Broncos RB RJ Harvey Anytime TD (+210 at BetRivers): The rookie has had a difficult time earning consistent snaps in the backfield with veteran J.K. Dobbins ahead of him, but Harvey has found the end zone four times over the past two weeks. Two of those were as a receiver, with Nix targeting Harvey five times last week for 51 yards and a score.
INSIDE EDGE
Harvey's role in the passing game figures to only increase as the season progresses. According to Inside Edge's Remarkable engine, Dobbins has averaged only 8.3 receiving yards per game since the start of the 2024 season, which is the lowest among qualified running backs.
SERIES HISTORY
Denver swept the Raiders last season after losing the previous eight matchups. The Broncos also enter with a nine-game home winning streak.
NIX-ING ANY CRITICS
Nix (1,976 yards, 17 touchdowns) is developing a big reputation for coming through in the clutch. That includes four fourth-quarter comebacks during Denver's current win streak.
"Bo's just being Bo," said Denver receiver Courtland Sutton. "Week in and week out, he shows up. ... He finds a way. He's a gamer. The dude shows up. We know that when we have him back there, we have a chance to win the game. I think that's the most fun thing and confident thing to be able to have is to know the guy back there is going to give us a chance to win the game."
RAIDERS' NEW LOOK
Second-year tight end Brock Bowers is coming off a monstrous game with 12 catches for 127 yards and three touchdowns. He is the first Raiders' tight end with three scoring catches in a game since franchise legend Todd Christensen in 1986.
The Raiders traded veteran receiver Jakobi Meyers to the Jaguars on Tuesday for Jacksonville's fourth- and sixth-round picks next year. That came a week after signing veteran Tyler Lockett, who played for coach Pete Carroll and with quarterback Geno Smith in Seattle.
INJURY REPORT
Las Vegas defensive tackle Adam Butler (back) and safeties Lonnie Johnson (fibula) and Isaiah Pola-Mao (hip) are questionable for Thursday's game. Backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell (right wrist) was ruled out.
Star cornerback Patrick Surtain II (pectoral) sat out both practices this week and will miss his second straight game. Tight end Nate Adkins (knee) and receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (concussion) also were ruled out. Safety P.J. Locke (neck) is questionable.
THEY SAID IT
--"We've heard a lot about the win streak, but we're not even really thinking about that because we have so many things that we want to correct. We feel like we haven't even played a complete game offensively. We're all in a growth mindset and we're worried about the things we can fix." --Nix on the Broncos' streak.
--"It has to be multiple guys. Jakobi was such an impact player for us. I wish him the best. He was a great practice player, and I enjoyed coaching him. He was a heck of a kid, but we got some other receivers who are going to have to pick it up." --Raiders offensive coordinator Chip Kelly on replacing Meyers, who had 33 receptions for 352 yards with no touchdowns in seven games.
PREDICTION
In addition to these teams going in distinctly opposite directions over the past month-plus, the data points almost all support an easy Denver victory Thursday night.
Consider that according to the Remarkable engine, the Raiders have been successful on only 37.3% of their rushing attempts this season (fourth-worst in the NFL) while the Broncos have allowed a success rate of just 36.6% of rush attempts (second best).
If Las Vegas can't run the ball effectively it figures to be a tough night on the road. The Raiders have run only 42.5% of their offensive plays on the opponent's side of the ball (third worst), while the Broncos are second best in the league in allowing only 39.2% of plays to be run in their territory.
--Broncos 31, Raiders 20
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The Paur Report
New York Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson (knee) exited during the third quarter of Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Cleveland Browns. He is officially listed as questionable to return. At the time of his departure, he had three targets but zero receptions. New York's passing game as a whole has been underwhelming on Sunday, with Justin Fields completing just five of 10 passes for 12 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception through the first three quarters. With Wilson sidelined, Isaiah Williams, John Metchie, Tyler Johnson, and Mason Taylor will step up as Fields' top targets.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart (head) was taken to the locker room to be evaluated for a concussion during the fourth quarter of Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Chicago Bears. At the time of his departure, he had 241 passing yards, 67 rushing yards, and two rushing touchdowns. The rookie quarterback has played very clean football against the Bears, leading the Giants to a one-possession lead in the fourth quarter. Russell Wilson has taken over under center and will look to preserve (or extend) New York's lead over Chicago.
From RotoBaller
Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid (hamstring) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Miami Dolphins. He initially exited in the third quarter and was listed as questionable before being downgraded to out. Kincaid had caught two of three targets for 37 yards at the time of his departure. Dawson Knox will take over as the Bills' primary tight end as they try to erase a two-possession deficit in Miami.
From RotoBaller
Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid (hamstring) exited during the third quarter of Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Miami Dolphins. He is officially listed as questionable to return, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. At the time of his departure, Kincaid had caught two of three targets for a team-leading 37 yards. The 26-year-old and his teammates haven't been able to get much going offensively, falling into a shocking two-possession deficit against Miami. Dawson Knox will take over as the Bills' primary tight end until Kincaid can return to action.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Jordan Whittington (back) is officially active for Sunday's Week 10 contest against the San Francisco 49ers. He had previously been listed as questionable. Despite suiting up Sunday, Whittington can't be trusted as a reliable fantasy option. The 25-year-old saw his snap share drop to 44 percent last week, and he didn't command a single target in the Rams' win. With both Puka Nacua and Davante Adams healthy, Whittington's can be left on waivers in most fantasy leagues.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants wide receiver Darius Slayton (hamstring) has returned to Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Chicago Bears. He initially exited in the first half with a hamstring injury and was deemed questionable to return. He checked back in during the second half, looking to build on an impressive start that included three catches for 85 yards. He'll continue to operate alongside Wan'Dale Robinson in the Giants' offense.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots running back Terrell Jennings (knee) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He exited in the first quarter and was originally listed as questionable before his status was downgraded. Jennings earned the Patriots' first carry on Sunday and ultimately tallied five rushing yards on four attempts. He had been handling increased volume alongside TreVeyon Henderson with Rhamondre Stevenson (toe) sidelined for the second consecutive week. Henderson will remain atop the depth chart while D'Ernest Johnson operates as his backup.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Cooper Kupp (hamstring, heel) is officially active for Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Arizona Cardinals. He had been listed as questionable but was trending in the right direction after logging a full practice on Friday. The veteran receiver is returning from a one-week absence and has been relatively underwhelming this season with 24 catches, 293 yards, and one touchdown through seven games. He and Rashid Shaheed will co-exist behind alpha receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba on Sunday afternoon.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks tight end AJ Barner (calf) is officially active for Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Arizona Cardinals. He had been listed as questionable but was trending in the right direction after logging a full practice on Friday. The pass-catching tight end has had an up-and-down season, offering low-end TE1 value from time to time. Overall, though, he ranks as the TE18 in PPR leagues through eight games. He's a high-end TE2 with low-end TE1 upside this week.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tory Horton (groin, shin) is officially inactive for Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Arizona Cardinals. He had been listed as doubtful after missing the Seahawks' Thursday and Friday practices. He had four catches for 48 yards and two touchdowns last week, so Seattle will miss his presence. With that said, they've found reinforcements in the form of Rashid Shaheed, who was acquired from the Saints last week.
From RotoBaller
Atlanta Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier had 11 carries for 57 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns during Sunday's Week 10 loss against the Indianapolis Colts. Allgeier's production has been inconsistent this year, and Sunday's overtime thriller saw him post his largest carry total since Week 4. The 25-year-old remains the backup option behind Bijan Robinson, showcasing that he can have standalone fantasy value from time to time. Unfortunately, his good games have been a bit unpredictable, so it's tough to trust him as a fantasy starter as long as he's healthy. For now, he remains a handcuff with low-end RB3/flex appeal in Week 11 against the Carolina Panthers.
From RotoBaller
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (toe) is inactive for Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Los Angeles Rams. He had been listed as questionable but was not expected to play after being a limited participant in practice last week. The team is hopeful that Purdy can return in Week 11 following a six-game absence. So far, he has appeared in just two games this season. Mac Jones will earn another start in his absence on Sunday.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants wide receiver Darius Slayton (hamstring) exited during the second quarter of Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Chicago Bears. He is questionable to return. He was having a spectacular game at the time of his departure, catching three passes for 85 yards as the Giants' leading receiver. With Slayton sidelined for the time being, Ray-Ray McCloud III or Jalin Hyatt could step up as the No. 2 receiver behind Wan'Dale Robinson. Tight ends Theo Johnson and Daniel Bellinger should also be heavily involved.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots running back Terrell Jennings (knee) exited during the first quarter of Sunday's Week 10 contest against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He is officially listed as questionable to return. At the time of his departure, he had five rushing yards on four carries, including the Patriots' first rush attempt of the game. Jennings had been handling increased volume alongside TreVeyon Henderson with Rhamondre Stevenson (toe) sidelined for the second consecutive week. Henderson will remain atop the depth chart while D'Ernest Johnson operates as his backup until Jennings can return.
From RotoBaller
Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London caught six of his eight targets for 104 yards and one touchdown during Sunday's Week 10 loss against the Indianapolis Colts. The former first-round pick tallied 100+ yards and at least one touchdown for the fourth time in his last five games. He has cemented himself as the only consistent pass-catching option in Atlanta as Kyle Pitts and Darnell Mooney continue to post iffy results week over week. London should remain a high-end WR1 option when the Falcons host the Carolina Panthers in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor had 32 carries for 244 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns during Sunday's overtime win over the Atlanta Falcons in Berlin. He also caught all three of his targets for an additional 42 receiving yards. The superstar running back strengthened his candidacy for the NFL rushing title, and he also improved his unlikely but not impossible odds in the MVP race. Taylor is now the overall RB1 in fantasy football this season. He remains an undisputed must-start on the other side of Indianapolis' Week 11 bye.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins rookie running back Ollie Gordon II (ankle), who was considered questionable for Week 10 against the division-rival Buffalo Bills, is officially active on Sunday. Gordon suffered an ankle injury in last Thursday night's Week 9 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, but with more time to recover between games, he's ready to roll this weekend. The 21-year-old has been Miami's RB2 so far this year behind bell-cow RB De'Von Achane, which has forced Jaylen Wright down to RB3 duties. In his first nine NFL games, Gordon has had 40 rushing attempts for 122 yards (3.1 yards per tote) and a touchdown while adding six receptions for 30 yards and another TD on eight targets. The 6-foot-2, 225-pounder gives the Dolphins a size/speed combination they haven't had in a while, but unless Achane gets hurt, he won't be much more than a handcuff in fantasy.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins tight end Julian Hill (ankle) is officially inactive for Sunday's divisional clash against the visiting Buffalo Bills at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 10. Despite logging three limited practices this week, Hill will miss his third straight game. The 25-year-old has not been able to take advantage of Darren Waller (pectoral) being on Injured Reserve. With Hill out again this weekend, Greg Dulcich figures to be the team's top pass-catching TE after he caught all five of his targets for 49 yards in the Week 9 loss to the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football. Still, Dulcich won't be much more than a low-end TE2 streaming option for fantasy managers against Buffalo. Hill is still searching for his first touchdown of the year and has only 10 receptions for 77 yards on 13 carries for Miami in 2025.
From RotoBaller
Buffalo Bills wide receiver Joshua Palmer (ankle, knee) is officially inactive for a divisional clash on Sunday against the Miami Dolphins in Week 10. Palmer put in limited practices this week, but the Bills didn't think he was ready to return to action just yet. The 26-year-old pass-catcher has not played since Week 6 and has been a disappointment so far in his first year in Buffalo after joining the team in free agency. With Palmer out again in Miami this weekend, the Bills will continue on with Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman as their top options at the position, with Elijah Moore, Curtis Samuel, and Tyrell Shavers battling for WR3 targets. Palmer's next chance to return will be for a Week 11 tilt against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He should remain on the waiver wire in most fantasy leagues. Palmer has only 14 catches for 234 yards and no touchdowns so far in 2025 on 20 targets.
From RotoBaller
Chicago Bears running back D'Andre Swift (groin, personal) is active for Sunday's Week 10 contest against the New York Giants. He had been listed as questionable after missing Friday's practice. The veteran ball-carrier has impressed when healthy this season, but after a short absence, he suddenly faces competition from standout rookie Kyle Monangai. With a wintry mix falling and a matchup against the Giants' 31st-ranked run defense, the Bears are expected to use a healthy dose of both Swift and Monangai out of the backfield on Sunday. Both can be low-end RB2 options in fantasy football.
From RotoBaller
