Fri Dec 27 8:05pm ET
Field Level Media
With NFL games on Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday this week, Week 17's Sunday slate only features nine games. With several games like Raiders vs. Saints where both teams are bad, putting money on the traditional betting line is challenging. But it is a great week for NFL player props.
The following are our top 10 player prop picks for Sunday's NFL games. (Odds are from FanDuel unless otherwise indicated.)
Jets vs. Bills
--Breece Hall, O/U 49.5 Rushing Yards at -113/-113
Hall has gone over this number in six of his last seven games. With rain in the forecast for Buffalo on Sunday, there is a good chance the Jets will focus more on the run. Plus, the more they run, the longer they can keep Josh Allen on the sideline.
Hall ran for a season-high 113 yards on the Bills earlier this year. The Bills have been an average run defense this season, which makes me think Hall will easily surpass 49.5 yards.
Take the OVER.
--James Cook, O/U 77.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards at -114/-114
The Bills have leaned into the run the last couple of weeks, with Cook going for 100-plus in two straight games and three of four. With inclement conditions expected, it would be surprising if they didn't hand off to Cook early and often this week as well.
He could go over the total just running the ball. But in case he doesn't break off a long run like he did the last two weeks, he'll make up the difference with a couple of screen passes.
Take the OVER.
Falcons vs. Commanders
--Bijan Robinson, O/U 83.5 Rushing Yards at -113/-113
--Robinson, O/U 18.5 Rushing Attempts at -132/+102
The best thing Atlanta can do to help Michael Penix Jr. is establish the run, which the Falcons should do anyway with a running back like Robinson. He's gone for 86 or more yards in six of his last seven games (four in a row). He carried the ball 19-plus times in each of them; in the outlier, he only had 12 carries.
Atlanta will make sure Robinson eats against Washington's lackluster run defense (29th in the NFL).
Take the OVER on both.
--Michael Penix Jr., O/U 207.5 Passing Yards at -114/-114
--Penix, O/U 29.5 Pass Attempts
The Falcons will try to protect their rookie this week, much like they did last week vs. the Giants. Establishing the run will be the focus of the offense, with enough passing to keep the Commanders' defense (which happens to be one of the best pass defenses in the league) honest.
Penix had 27 pass attempts last week. Teams have been attempting 28.5 per game on the Commanders this season and 32.3 in the last three. If Cousins was still at QB, I'd expect Atlanta to be closer to 32 attempts than 28 -- but not Penix.
They'll play it safe with Penix again. Take the UNDER for both.
Dolphins vs. Browns
--Tyreek Hill, O/U 49.5 Receiving Yards at -114/-114
It hasn't been the kind of year we've come to expect from Hill, but with all the injury issues Miami has dealt with, it's not surprising. He's averaging 55.6 yards per game this season and has exceeded 49.5 yards in three of his last six games.
But the Dolphins are still alive for the playoffs and are facing a Browns defense giving up 157.7 yards per game to wide receivers this season. Other pass-happy teams like the Broncos (Week 13) and Bengals (Week 16) saw their wide receivers combine for 200-plus.
Take the OVER.
Giants vs. Colts
--Jonathan Taylor, O/U 102.5 Rushing Yards at -115/-115 (via DraftKings)
--Taylor O/U 22.5 Rushing Attempts at -110/-110 (via DraftKings)
Taylor carried the ball 29 times for 218 yards last week vs. Tennessee, but 135 yards came on two carries. Expecting similar numbers would be unrealistic.
But as long as the Colts decide to abuse the Giants' 31st-ranked run defense rather than (try to) establish the pass, good things will happen.
Taylor has had at least 21 attempts each time the Colts have won while he was healthy this season. As bad as the Giants' run defense is, it makes sense to feed Taylor the ball 25 times.
Take the OVER for both.
Cowboys vs. Eagles
--Saquon Barkley, O/U 111.5 Rushing Yards at -113/-113
With Jalen Hurts out this week, the Eagles will likely focus on establishing the run with Barkley to take pressure off Kenny Pickett. It didn't result in a win last week against the Commanders, but Washington is a better team than the Cowboys this year.
Dallas has held teams to an average of 89.3 yards over their last three games. But the Eagles are playing at home and have a chance to lock up the division with a win. With Barkley and the defense leading the way, they'll get the job done.
Take the OVER.
Denver Broncos wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. reeled in 8-of-8 targets for 103 yards and two touchdowns in his team's 30-24 OT loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. He lost one yard on his lone carry and returned one kick for 27 yards. The second-year wideout was used primarily in the short area of the field, as six of his receptions went for nine yards or fewer. However, his 25- and 51-yard TD strikes would account for most of the damage done, with both tying the game in the fourth quarter. After an abysmal start to the season, Mims Jr. has seen his involvement in Denver's offense increase -- compiling two 100-plus-yard outings over his last four appearances. The Oklahoma product will get a far stiffer test in the season's final week against the visiting Kansas City Chiefs.
From RotoBaller
Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton brought in 5-of-9 targets for 55 yards and a touchdown in Saturday's 30-24 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. He was targeted just twice in the first half -- converting one for a gain of seven yards. However, the 29-year-old was much more involved after halftime. He'd haul in a six-yard TD on the Broncos' first possession of the third quarter and was targeted three times on their final drive of regulation (2/29) as they marched down the field to send it to OT. Sutton has seen his reception and yardage output scale back over the last three weeks, but he's still grabbed two scores and remains heavily involved as rookie quarterback Bo Nix's preferred option (24 targets). He and the Broncos will line up against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 18 with a spot in the playoffs on the line.
From RotoBaller
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy will face the Detroit Lions at home for Week 17's Monday night matchup. Last week in Miami, Purdy threw a career-high 40 passes, completing 26 of them for 313 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He also led the team in rushing yards with 26, indicating San Francisco's backfield depletion more than anything. This week, rookie running back Isaac Guerendo (foot, hamstring) has no injury designation which should be a boon to the 49ers offense. The Niners' offensive line won't be at full strength. They're down to their third-string left tackle and starting right tackle Colton McKivitz (knee) is questionable. Detroit's defense is healthy and ranked as the 12th most generous to opposing fantasy quarterbacks in Yahoo default scoring. Look for a game script similar to last week, as San Francisco tries to keep pace with an electric Lions offense. Purdy is a low-end QB1 for fantasy championship week.
From RotoBaller
Arizona Cardinals running back James Conner (knee) is questionable to return to Saturday night's meeting with the Los Angeles Rams. The 29-year-old came into this weekend battling through a knee injury he picked up in Week 16's loss to the Carolina Panthers and apparently isn't entirely over it. Per the broadcast, he's available on the sidelines to reenter the contest. Conner gained four yards on four carries and another four through the air on 2-of-3 receiving before his exit. Backfield mate Michael Carter figures to handle most of the backfield touches with the veteran out of the lineup. DeeJay Dallas could mix in as a change of pace behind him.
From RotoBaller
Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix completed 24-of-31 passes for 219 yards and three touchdowns in Saturday's 30-24 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. He added 31 yards on seven carries and threw one interception in the outing. What started as a defensive battle turned into a scoring fest, with the teams combining for 34 points in the fourth quarter and OT. The 24-year-old again put up a solid performance -- tossing at least three TDs for the fourth time this year and the second in his last three games. It's been an incredible debut campaign for Nix, who will look to keep his team's playoff hopes alive in Week 18 when they line up for a rematch against the visiting Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City held the rookie to 215 yards and two scores (no turnovers) back in Week 10 when Denver lost the game 16-14 on a blocked field goal.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals running back Khalil Herbert had 23 yards off four carries in Saturday's win over the Broncos. Chase Brown (ankle) had another solid fantasy showing, going for 67 yards on the ground off 20 touches and adding four grabs for 24 yards. However, with Brown suffering an ankle injury late in the contest, Herbert got some meaningful work. With that said, there's a chance Brown may not be healthy enough to play in Week 18 versus the Steelers. If that's the case, Herbert will enter the flex conversation while emerging as a DFS value option.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Andrei Iosivas caught three of his four targets for 59 yards in Saturday's win over the Broncos. While he came close to accruing his second touchdown in as many weeks, he was held out of the end zone in Week 17. With Cincinnati needing a win over Pittsburgh in Week 18, Iosivas could continue to get the attention of Joe Burrow, even more so if the Steelers defense focuses on keeping Ja'Marr Chase at bay. However, the 25-year-old has a long way to go before earning the trust of fantasy managers, despite having the best season of his young career.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase had 102 yards off nine catches in Saturday's overtime victory over Denver. Broncos cornerback Patrick Surtain II was all over Chase in Week 17. However, he still had a serviceable fantasy performance. With the Bengals sitting at 8-8, Cincinnati needs a win over the Steelers in Week 18 to keep their playoff hopes alive. The 24-year-old had six catches for 86 yards and a touchdown when these clubs met back on December 1. But as is the case with Chase, he is always capable of having big performances.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals tight end Mike Gesicki caught 10 passes for 86 yards in Saturday's win over Denver. With the Broncos defense paying close attention to Ja'Marr Chase, the veteran got more involved. Granted, he didn't play as well as Tee Higgins, who had three touchdowns. However, fantasy managers will take what they can get from Gesicki at this point. At any rate, the Bengals will meet the Steelers in Week 18. While Gesicki will likely see more attention from fantasy managers, he's certainly not a trustworthy fantasy option.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (ankle, knee) was active for Saturday's meeting with the Broncos. The wideout had one of the best performances of his career in Week 17, amassing 131 yards off 11 catches. He also scored three touchdowns, with one in overtime securing the win for the Bengals. Without question, Cincinnati needs him on the field in Week 18 versus the Steelers to keep their playoff hopes alive. With that in mind, he should continue to get the attention of Joe Burrow, especially if the Pittsburgh defense keeps a close eye on Ja'Marr Chase.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals running back Chase Brown (ankle) ran for 67 yards off 20 carries in Saturday's overtime win over the Denver Broncos. He added four catches for 24 yards. Although the 24-year-old didn't find the end zone, he still had a productive showing to help keep the Bengals' playoff hopes alive. Unfortunately, he suffered an ankle injury late in the contest and didn't return. Cincinnati needs to beat the Steelers in Week 18. However, there's a chance Brown could miss that contest, meaning Khalil Herbert, who had 23 yards off four attempts, would be in line to start. Of course, Brown will do all he can to get out there.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow threw for 412 yards and three touchdowns off 39-for-49 passing in Saturday's overtime victory over the Broncos. He added 25 yards off four carries, one of which resulted in a trip to the end zone. The former LSU Tiger has now tossed at least three touchdowns in each of the Bengals' previous eight contests. While he likely won't win the MVP award this season, his name is certainly mentioned in the conversation. With that in mind, the Bengals need to beat the Steelers to keep their playoff hopes alive. As such, Burrow should be at his best despite the challenging matchup.
From RotoBaller
Arizona Cardinals running back Trey Benson (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of the Week 17 matchup against the Los Angeles Rams. Benson is set to miss his second game in a row due to a lingering ankle issue. Luckily, James Conner (knee) has been cleared to play and figures to see a majority of the carries in the backfield. Michael Carter figures to serve as the primary backup after a solid performance in Week 17. Carter rushed five times for 18 yards and hauled in all five of his targets for 30 yards in the win last week. He won't be a recommended streaming choice with Conner likely getting most of the touches in the backfield.
From RotoBaller
Arizona Cardinals running back James Conner (knee) has been upgraded to active ahead of Saturday's Week 17 matchup against the Los Angeles Rams. Conner was questionable coming into this game after suffering a knee injury during last week's loss. He's ready to go now and could see a heavier workload with backup back Trey Benson (ankle) on the sideline. Conner has rushed for over 100 yards in each of his last two games. The Rams defense has struggled to contain the run this season, but it's also unclear if the knee issue is going to impact Conner at all. Fantasy managers should consider Conner a high-end RB2 for this contest.
From RotoBaller
Carolina Panthers kicker Eddy Pineiro hasn't been much of a fantasy option over the last few weeks. In fact, Pineiro has only two field goal attempts over his last three games. Last week, Pineiro connected on 3-of-4 extra point attempts and his lone field goal in the win over the Arizona Cardinals. Now, Pineiro heads into a matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 17. A team he made three field goals against in Week 13. The 29-year-old also missed two field goals during that game. Pineiro might be active this weekend, but he's far from a lock in terms of a solid fantasy kicker.
From RotoBaller
Las Vegas Raiders kicker Daniel Carlson hasn't been the most consistent option, but he could be worth a look in Week 17. Carlson has missed at least one kick in three of his last four games. Last week, Carlson made his lone extra point attempt while converting 2-of-3 field goal attempts in the win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The good news is that Carlson does have a favorable matchup against the New Orleans Saints in Week 17. This is a contest that will be indoors against a leaky defense that should give Carlson multiple chances. That being said, Carlson is well worth a look as a streaming option for Week 17.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Chargers kicker Cameron Dicker had a huge game in Week 17, making all eight of the kicks he lined up for. Dicker made four field goals and four extra points, with his field goals coming from 27, 38, 41, and 35 yards out. It was a big game for Dicker in a big game overall for the Chargers offense. They'll take on the division-rival bottom-dwelling Las Vegas Raiders to wrap up the regular season in Week 18.
From RotoBaller
Atlanta Falcons kicker Riley Patterson was busy during last week's win over the New York Giants. Patterson recently took over as the kicker after Younghoe Koo (hip) went on the injured reserve. Patterson came ready to kick as he knocked down all four extra point attempts and converted 2-of-3 field goal attempts in the win. The 25-year-old hasn't kicked much this season, but looked solid outside of his 43-yard miss last week. He should continue to get chances to kick in what could be a high-scoring matchup against the Washington Commanders in Week 17. Patterson isn't a must-start option, but is certainly worth a look for fantasy managers seeking a kicker for this weekend.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Chargers rookie running back Kimani Vidal only ended up with five touches in a Week 17 blowout win over the New England Patriots. Vidal was thought to maybe have an increased role this week with J.K. Dobbins just returning from IR, but Dobbins resumed his every down role, leaving just five carries for 24 yards for Vidal. He was also targeted twice in the passing game but ended up unable to make any catches. He ultimately fell behind Hassan Haskins, who recorded eight carries and one catch.
From RotoBaller
Buffalo Bills kicker Tyler Bass has been busy over the last few weeks. Bass has connected on all 20 of his extra point attempts over the last four games. However, Bass is 3-for-5 on field goal attempts during that span. The Bills offense has been cruising so much recently that Bass hasn't seen many chances to kick field goals. Despite that, Bass continues to have decent value because of all the touchdowns that the Bills offense is scoring right now. This offense should continue rolling against the New York Jets in Week 17. Bass is one of the better kickers in the league and is worth starting in most formats.
From RotoBaller