Round 1 Instant Reaction

Fri Apr 25 9:45am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

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Raiders land best back in draft


With Round 1of the NFL Draft in the books, I thought it would be a good idea to give an instant fantasy take on some of the picks made. The first round wasn’t too crazy compared to past years but still had some interesting picks.

Here are my fantasy takes. . . . .

The Titans have their new starting quarterback, taking Cam Ward in the first round. This was expected, so it was not a surprise. Ward should start from day one and could have his ups and downs along the way but has some big-game potential. He is a confident player that likes to sling it up and down the field. This is probably a good move for the Titans, moving on from Will Levis.

Jacksonville made a bold move, trading up to get Travis Hunter. Hunter gives the team a solid starter at receiver opposite Brian Thomas. He also will play cornerback defensively, but the Titans made it sound last night that he will play a lot more receiver in year one. This should be a positive for his fantasy value. I’m still not sure his ceiling as a fantasy receiver, trying to play two positions. There isn’t much history to go in when it comes to his, but normally a player that splits time on both sides of the ball is going to have some erratic production. I would expect that from Hunter in year one. He is probably more reserve material for fantasy teams as a rookie.

The Raiders won the Ashton Jeanty sweepstakes. I don’t consider this the top landing spot for Jeanty but it is not a bad one by any means. Jeanty will carry the load at running back and has next to no competition for carries. And Chip Kelly will be the play caller for the Raiders this year, which should be a good thing for Jeanty. Kelly has a ton of experience and success. He should make Jeanty the focal point of the offense. Jeanty is a first-round fantasy pick as a rookie. He is going to get a ton of work.

Carolina added another weapon for Bryce Young, taking receiver Tetairoa McMillan with their eighth pick. This is great news for Young, who seemed to turn the corner late last season. McMillan should be the top receiver in this offense from day one. He can rack up the targets from Young. Just look at how Young has looked at Adam Thielen the last two seasons. McMillan can have a solid rookie year as the No. 1 receiver for the Panthers. We aren’t sure he has the type of seasons that Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas did as rookies last year, but McMillan can help fantasy teams as a rookie. Just consider him more of a No. 3 in this offense.

The Bears surprised some by taking tight end Colston Loveland with their first-round pick. Chicago already had Cole Kmet but it seems the Bears couldn’t pass on adding another talented pass catcher at tight end. New head coach Ben Johnson is trying to get as many weapons as possible for Caleb Williams. Loveland is likely to emerge as the top tight end before long but Kmet is going to get his playing time as well. So this isn’t an ideal spot for Loveland’s fantasy value. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Chicago right now, so some erratic production could be on the horizon. Just keep this in mind when taking playmakers for the Bears this season, especially when it comes to Loveland and Kmet.

Many thought the second tight end picked was the best one in the draft, so the Colts might have gotten some good value with getting Tyler Warren at pick 14. This is a great pick for the Colts, who have needed a legit starting tight end for years. Warren should step in to start right away and get plenty of work in this offense The only concern for Warren is the Colts quarterback play. Anthony Richardson is going to need to show more consistency if Warren hopes to reach his potential. So I would not expect either of the top tight ends picked to lead fantasy tight ends in scoring, breaking a streak of two straight seasons where that happened. These are good players that should make an impact, though.

The Bucs made a little surprising pick, taking receiver Emeka Egbuka with their first pick. They are planning for the future, though, with Mike Evans not getting any younger. Egbuka would be an ideal replacement. But for his rookie season, he should be third on the depth chart. He will get his targets and chances, but his ceiling is a little limited right now. He might not make a huge fantasy impact in year one. And the addition of Egbuka all but kills the value of Jalen McMillan, who played well with his chances last year. He should move to fourth on the depth chart this season.

The Chargers got their workhorse back, taking Omarion Hampton. This is a great landing spot for Hampton, heading a top offense that likes to run the ball. He should start immediately and play a big role. Hampton is a great fit for the offense, running with power and doing a good job of closing out games. He could be a really solid No. 2 fantasy back his rookie season. The addition of Hampton really hurts Najee Harris, though, who should still get work but not nearly as much as before the draft. Harris might be worth a reserve look for fantasy teams but don’t expect much more with Hampton around.

Green Bay has a crowded receiver room that got a little more crowded with the addition of Matthew Golden. The good news for Golden is that he has a chance to give the team a legit No. 1 receiver. All the other options in Green Bay are more No. 2 options. Golden should be able to start and be a top option for Jordan Love. The addition of Golden probably hurts the value more of the players around him, including Jayden Reed, Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs. So this is a pretty crowded receiver room with a lot of mouths to feed. All these guys could be up and down throughout the season. You have to like the value of Love even more after the addition of Golden, though. Love could have his best season to date.

The Giants have quite the quarterback room after taking Jaxson Dart late in the first round. New York traded back into the first round to get Dart, hoping to have found their franchise quarterback. The team already stated after the draft that Russell Wilson will start this year, having Dart learn behind him. And don’t forget the Giants also have Jameis Winston on the roster. So it would not surprise if Dart was even third on the depth chart his rookie season. He is not going to help fantasy teams unless the Giants have an awful season and he starts getting some chances late in the year.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
Tee Higgins Jun 6 10:30pm CT
Tee Higgins

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins said that he changed his offseason regimen looking to prevent injuries while also focusing on both speed and strength. "Get my muscles right. Make sure I know what I'm doing muscles-wise," said Higgins, who returned to his usual offseason trainer in Miami. "I did a lot of everything. I was on the track a lot. I was in the weight room a lot weightlifting." Bengals.com's Geoff Hobson writes that the 26-year-old is looking as sleek as ever after missing five games in 2024 due to soft-tissue injuries. Despite missing five games last year, Higgins caught 73 passes (one shy of his career-high) for 911 receiving yards and a career-best 10 touchdowns in 12 games (nine starts). There will be even more expectations on Higgins to stay healthy after he signed a four-year, $115 million extension in March. Higgins has never played in a full season, but if he does, he should have a great shot at reaching 1,000 receiving yards for the third time in six seasons.

From RotoBaller

Lamar Jackson Jun 6 10:20pm CT
Lamar Jackson

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that a contract extension for star quarterback Lamar Jackson is on the docket for the Baltimore Ravens. "We're in the introductory stage of looking at what an extension looks like," general manager Eric DeCosta said. As things stand right now, Jackson is the 10th-highest paid QB in the NFL. The 28-year-old four-time Pro Bowler, three-time All-Pro and two-time MVP not only deserves a new contract, but the Ravens want to get one done so that they can lower his high salary cap number. If Jackson becomes the highest-paid signal-caller in the league, which is probably likely, he'll make more than $60 million per year. He was incredible last year as the QB1 in fantasy with a career-high 4,172 passing yards, 41 TDs and only four picks in 17 regular-season starts while adding 915 rushing yards and four more TDs. As long as he stays healthy, he's pretty much a lock as a top-five QB.

From RotoBaller

Tyreek Hill Jun 6 7:50pm CT
Tyreek Hill

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (wrist) will not be cleared to catch passes until August. The 31-year-old wideout is working his way back from wrist surgery he underwent earlier in the offseason. This wrist injury bothered Hill at times during the 2024 campaign, but he did not miss any games. Last season, Hill had a disappointing campaign by his standards as he tallied just 959 yards and six scores on 81 receptions. Hill saw his production drop with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa missing time with a concussion. During his first two seasons in Miami, Hill was an elite wideout in fantasy as he tallied at least 1,700 yards per season and found the back of the end zone 21 total times. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor his progression during training in camp, in case he faces any setbacks. If Hill were to miss time with this injury, fantasy managers should expect Jaylen Waddle and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, who the team acquired in free agency, to operate as the top wideouts. Even though he had a down season in 2024, given his elite speed, Hill should be well-positioned to return to form in 2025, provided he remains fully healthy.

From RotoBaller

Rome Odunze Jun 6 7:30pm CT
Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears wide receiver Rome Odunze believes he's going to take a major step forward in his second professional season. Odunze had high expectations after being drafted as the No. 9 overall pick during last year's draft. He finished with 54 receptions, 734 yards, and three touchdowns across 17 games last season. To be fair, nothing seemed to go right for the Bears offense last season. They tried to get Odunze involved with over 100 targets, but the poor play of the offensive line made it difficult for them. Despite that, the Bears believe Odunze is a special player that can take a big leap this next season. Odunze said his goal is to get at least 1,000 receiving yards and double-digit touchdowns. The Bears have added talent on offense, so we'll see if that goal is achievable, but regardless fantasy managers should probably hold Odunze and see what happens.

From RotoBaller

Keilan Robinson Jun 6 7:10pm CT
Keilan Robinson

The Philadelphia Eagles have claimed running back Keilan Robinson off waivers from the Jacksonville Jaguars on Friday. The Jags decided to move on from Robinson after drafting him in the fifth round of last year's draft. Robinson basically only played special teams, but deserves a chance to prove himself as an offensive player. He'll have an uphill battle to earn a spot in camp, but it's possible he makes the team as a special teams player. In a corresponding move, wide receiver Ife Adeyi has been waived by the organization.

From RotoBaller

Ladd McConkey Jun 6 7:00pm CT
Ladd McConkey

Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey dealt with multiple injuries last season, but still only missed one game during the regular season. The rookie wideout seemed banged up throughout most of the season, but still put up strong numbers. He finished with 1,149 receiving yards with 82 receptions and seven touchdowns in 16 games (14 starts) with the Chargers last season. Now, McConkey is focusing on the art of falling down in order to protect himself from injury. McConkey wants to learn how to fall safely to avoid serious injury and stay on the field as much as possible. It's nice to see such a young player taking care of his body this early in his career. McConkey was a stud last season and his value figures to only go up.

From RotoBaller

Gardner Minshew II Jun 6 3:00pm CT
Gardner Minshew II

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Gardner Minshew II (collarbone) has been throwing during voluntary organized team activities. Minshew broke his collarbone in 2024 while with the Las Vegas Raiders and was limited to 10 games (nine starts), in which he threw for 2,013 yards, nine touchdowns and 10 interceptions in his only year in the desert. Now that he's recovered from the injury, the 29-year-old signal-caller is expected to open the 2025 season as the backup to starter Patrick Mahomes, with Bailey Zappe likely being named the third-stringer. Minshew was a first-time Pro Bowler in 2023 with the Indianapolis Colts, but he'll be off the fantasy radar completely in his seventh season in the NFL as long as Mahomes stays healthy.

From RotoBaller

Rondale Moore Jun 6 2:40pm CT
Rondale Moore

Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Rondale Moore (knee) has been participating in the team's voluntary organized team activities. Moore didn't play at all last year with the Atlanta Falcons after suffering a season-ending knee injury before the season started. The 24-year-old pass-catcher is now healthy and is trying to carve out a depth role in his first year with Minnesota behind Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and Jalen Nailor. The former second-round pick (49th overall) by the Arizona Cardinals in 2021 out of Purdue caught 135 passes on 182 targets for 1,201 yards and three touchdowns (one each year) in his first three years in the NFL in Arizona. Not only will Moore probably not be on the field all that much if Jefferson, Addison and Nailor stay healthy, but he could have lost notable speed after his serious knee injury. Moore is off the fantasy radar for now in most leagues.

From RotoBaller

Colston Loveland Jun 6 2:30pm CT
Colston Loveland

Chicago Bears rookie first-round tight end Colston Loveland (shoulder) was spotted in uniform during mandatory minicamp this week and could be getting closer to a return after having shoulder surgery, according to The Athletic's Adam Jahns. "I just knew the springtime here, he wasn't going to be available," head coach Ben Johnson said, "and at some point here in camp, we should get the green light." The 21-year-old 10th overall pick back in April has been around the team, but he's missing valuable on-field reps heading into his first NFL season. The Bears obviously like the Michigan product a lot, and the pass-catching TE becomes more attractive when paired with Johnson's offensive mind. There's a lot to like about Loveland long term, but it could be difficult for him to produce consistently with Cole Kmet still around. Losing development time this offseason is not a good start.

From RotoBaller

Kyle Monangai Jun 6 2:20pm CT
Kyle Monangai

Chicago Bears head coach Ben Johnson said that rookie seventh-round running back Kyle Monangai has "really stepped up" during mandatory minicamp, including catching a touchdown pass from quarterback Caleb Williams during a situational drill on Wednesday. "I appreciate the attention to detail and the pride he takes and how quickly he's picking things up," Johnson said of Monangai. The 23-year-old Rutgers product doesn't have excellent speed or hands for a running back, but he could be an asset for the Bears in short-yardage and goal-line situations down the road. D'Andre Swift is Chicago's clear lead back still heading into the 2025 season, but Monangai could have a real shot to battle with Roschon Johnson for the backup role. And we all know that Johnson has a history of a two-back system from his time running Detroit's offense. Monangai won't be on the redraft fantasy radar, though.

From RotoBaller

Anthony Richardson Jun 6 2:10pm CT
Anthony Richardson

According to ESPN's Jeremy Fowler, Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (shoulder) isn't dealing with any structural damage to his surgically-repaired right shoulder after he recently reported soreness in the same arm that he had surgery on in 2023 to fix his AC joint. Richardson went hard this offseason in terms of throwing the football and reported soreness at organized team activities, causing the Colts to shut him down through next week's mandatory minicamp. For now, the former first-rounder will rest up, and he fully expects to be ready for training camp at the end of July. This doesn't mean Richardson can't still win the QB battle with Daniel Jones in camp, but it certainly doesn't help his chances and puts him behind the eight ball. Richardson has the higher fantasy ceiling than Jones for sure, but injuries and questions about him as a passer have really tanked his value going into 2025.

From RotoBaller

Isaac Guerendo Jun 6 12:00pm CT
Isaac Guerendo

San Francisco 49ers running back Isaac Guerendo (ankle, knee) has been taking part in voluntary organized team activities this spring after injuring his MCL and spraining his ankle in the Week 18 regular-season finale last year. Guerendo, a fourth-round pick (129th overall) in 2024, should be a full-go for the start of mandatory minicamp on June 10. All-Pro Christian McCaffrey (knee) is also back and ready to roll after missing the majority of the 2024 campaign, so Guerendo will enter the 2025 season as the backup, but Jordan Mason was traded to the Minnesota Vikings and Elijah Mitchell left in free agency. The 24-year-old Guerendo had 5.0 yards per carry on his 84 rushing attempts last year for 420 yards and four touchdowns in 16 games (three starts), adding 15 catches for 152 yards through the air. Consider him a high-upside handcuff behind the injury-prone CMC.

From RotoBaller

Evan Engram Jun 6 11:50am CT
Evan Engram

The Denver Broncos had high hopes for tight end Evan Engram when they signed him in free agency this offseason, and they are liking what they have seen so far from him during voluntary organized team activities. Engram was limited to nine games in 2024 with the Jacksonville Jaguars due to hamstring and shoulder injuries, but he's a two-time Pro Bowler who had 114 catches for 963 yards as recently as 2023. Head coach Sean Payton has a desire to add a Joker player to the offense, and he pitched the idea to Engram before he signed. Payton said Engram has shown "real good instincts" during workouts. The 30-year-old veteran has been impressed with quarterback Bo Nix and wants to help him take the next step in his development in his second NFL season. As the potential No. 2 target behind receiver Courtland Sutton, Engram has plenty of bounce-back potential as a TE1 in 2025 in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Alvin Kamara Jun 6 11:40am CT
Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara (groin) has not been participating in voluntary organized team activities this spring after missing the final three games in 2024 due to a groin injury. However, Kamara is expected to be recovered from the injury and should be back in action for the start of mandatory minicamp from June 10-12. There's no question that the 29-year-old will remain the team's lead back under new head coach Kellen Moore, but The New Orleans Times-Picayune's Matthew Paras writes that the competition behind Kamara is wide open between Kendre Miller, rookie Devin Neal and Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Kamara is nearing the dreaded 30-year-old mark for RBs, but the volume should continue to be there in 2025 to make him fantasy relevant. Injuries are becoming more of a concern, but Kamara should continue to be a stud in PPR leagues.

From RotoBaller

Derek Carr Jun 6 11:30am CT
Derek Carr

Former New Orleans Saints and Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Derek Carr (shoulder) made a surprising decision to hang up his cleats and retire from the NFL this offseason. "That part was tough because I didn't want to have surgery and just sit there andit sounds crazy butjust take the Saints money," Carr said. He had two seasons left on the four-year, $150 million deal he signed with the Saints in 2023, although he gave up the $30 million salary he was set to earn in 2025. The four-time Pro Bowler was dealing with a right-shoulder injury that was going to require surgery and leave his availability uncertain for the start of the regular season this fall. Carr said the Saints wanted him to keep playing, but he couldn't commit to another season. With Carr now gone, the Saints will have a QB competition this summer, primarily between rookie second-rounder Tyler Shough and Spencer Rattler.

From RotoBaller

Trevor Lawrence Jun 6 11:20am CT
Trevor Lawrence

Jacksonville Jaguars head coach Liam Coen has been impressed with quarterback Trevor Lawrence as he learns a new offense during voluntary organized team activities this spring. "Is he operating the offense at a high level?" Coen asked. "Yes, he is right now." The new head coach has stressed footwork for the former first overall pick, and he has seen improvement from Lawrence in that area as well. 2024 was a disappointment for Lawrence due to injuries and poor performance, as he completed just 60.6% of his passes for 2,045 yards, 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions in 10 games. His fantasy stock is obviously way down going into 2025, but Lawrence should be more efficient with Coen in town and after the team added two-way star Travis Hunter with the second overall pick in the draft. Still, nobody should be considering Lawrence a QB1 in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Puka Nacua Jun 5 11:00pm CT
Puka Nacua

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua said he has already learned a lot from veteran wideout Davante Adams. Since gaining knowledge from the 11-year NFL veteran, Nacua's route-running has looked sharper in practice, according to offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur. It appears Nacua is using more of the "elusive" methods off the line of scrimmage instead of the brute force he often applies at the start of his routes. The 24-year-old is already one of the best wideouts in the NFL after ranking in the top 10 in yards per route run against man coverage (seventh) and zone coverage (first), but the former fifth-rounder in 2023 could become even more deadly if he adds some finesse to his physical style of play. Nacua set the rookie receiving record in 2023 and was more efficient in 2024 despite not reaching 1,000 yards due to a knee injury. Injuries could be an issue, but Nacua is a high-end WR1 otherwise.

From RotoBaller

Michael Pittman Jr. Jun 5 10:40pm CT
Michael Pittman Jr.

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. (knee) had an initial injury scare in voluntary OTA practice on Thursday when he bumped knees with a defender, but he's expected to be OK, a source told FOX 59's Mike Chappell. Pittman is sore and expected to be fine, but he'll likely be held out of mandatory minicamp next week as a precaution. The initial thought was that the 27-year-old former second-round pick (34th overall) in 2020 out of USC was dealing with another back injury, which was something he battled through for the majority of the 2024 campaign. He should be ready to go for training camp this summer as he looks to bounce back from a 69-808-3 line in 16 games (14 starts) in 2024. Pittman still has WR2 upside, but as a possession receiver, his best-case scenario for fantasy upside in 2025 is if Daniel Jones wins the QB battle over Anthony Richardson (shoulder).

From RotoBaller

Anthony Richardson Jun 5 10:40pm CT
Anthony Richardson

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (shoulder) is reportedly dealing with inflammation in the surgically repaired AC joint in his right arm, and he's been recommended rest, according to CBS Sports' Jonathan Jones. The belief is the injury won't impact his availability for the start of training camp this summer. The 23-year-old former fourth overall pick's injury doesn't sound serious, but he's off to a bad start in the offseason competition with Daniel Jones and won't practice during mandatory minicamp next week. It's also an injury that cut short his rookie year in 2023. Richardson has elite rushing ability, which gives him a much higher fantasy ceiling than Jones, but he hasn't been able to stay healthy and still has plenty of developing to do as a passer. Nothing is decided yet, but Jones is gaining momentum because of this. The former Florida Gator is losing steam in dynasty/keeper formats.

From RotoBaller

Minkah Fitzpatrick Jun 5 8:10pm CT
Minkah Fitzpatrick

The Pittsburgh Steelers have agreed to terms with former Los Angeles Rams defensive back Quindell Johnson on a one-year, $960,000 contract. Johnson signed with the Rams as an undrafted free agent back in 2023, but was claimed off waivers by the Chicago Bears, with whom he spent the season. He appeared in nine games for the team, notching an interception and two tackles. In 2024, the Memphis product rejoined Los Angeles, though he did not suit up for a single contest. Johnson is currently ranked third (unofficially) on the Steelers' depth chart behind safety Minkah Fitzpatrick and Juan Thornhill. That is where he projects to operate if he makes the team.

From RotoBaller