Wed Nov 12 8:07am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Dowdle is setup for more success
We sure are moving right along, already in Week 11 of the fantasy football season. Standings are clearly taking shape, getting a good idea of who still has a shot to make the playoffs. If you aren’t one of those playoff teams and are in a dynasty format, don’t hesitate to plan for the future. Trade some of your players for draft picks to help prepare you for the future. Just because your fantasy season might be over doesn’t mean you have to just let the season play out and sit on your hands. Be proactive.
Now for my random thoughts for the week. . . . .
This is not a hot take but Jaxson Dart is going to have to tone down his reckless running with the football. He is not going to last long in the NFL if he keeps playing like he has to start his career. Hopefully, he figures it out sooner than later because he is a special talent. I still can’t believe what he is doing on a team with so little to work with offensively. Dart is going to be a stud for years to come. Let’s just hope he can stay on the field.
I never want to wish injury on anyone but Garrett Wilson getting hurt might be a blessing in disguise for him and his fantasy owners. The Jets passing game is absolutely awful. And while Wilson has been alright at times this year, you have to wonder if he would have been very productive going forward with how bad this offense has been playing lately. It might be good for his fantasy owners, who likely would have played him no matter what on a weekly basis because of his big-time ability. I just want to see Wilson get healthy and a good quarterback to work with in 2026. This season was a lost year for him.
The Eagles have to make some changes offensively. Their current philosophy isn’t working and they need to adjust. The offensive line just isn’t opening the holes for Saquon Barkley. Philadelphia might need to come out more pass-first to help open up the offense. If they can start making big plays down the field, that should help Barkley find more room to run. Right now, this offense isn’t working and something needs to change. Barkley has 60 or fewer rushing yards all but two games.
It is pretty amazing that Joe Burrow is already practicing on a limited basis. I would not count out a return in the near future - maybe even for the fantasy playoffs. So if he is available in your league for some reason, go grab him now. He could be a factor once again this year. The Bengals passing game has been great in recent weeks, so Burrow might end up being a difference maker before it is all said and done.
Trey McBride sure has a great connection with Jacoby Brissett. He has double-digit targets three of the four starts of Brissett. He has at least 16 fantasy points all four of Brissett’s starts. He also has found the end zone every one of those starts. The numbers don’t lie. Brissett has helped make McBride the top fantasy tight end in the game. This duo has a great connection right now.
If I’m a Saints fan, I’m encouraged with what I’m seeing from rookie quarterback Tyler Shough. He is making progress each week and could be the franchise quarterback the team was searching. He still could have some bumps along the way this year, but I think new head coach Kellen Moore is doing a great job with the rookie. Things are trending up for this entire Saints offense.
On the flip side, I don’t think the Browns have found their franchise quarterback in Dillon Gabriel. He just doesn’t have the arm strength in my view to be a top-notch NFL starter. Plus, he doesn’t always make the right read and can hold onto the ball too long. And you can lack arm strength and still be a solid NFL quarterback, but those kind of guys need to be highly accurate. I don’t think Gabriel has that accuracy. Personally, I would like to see the team give a shot to rookie Shedur Sanders before the season is over. We’ll see.
News and Notes: Tampa Bay running back Josh Williams has been suspended without pay for violating the NFL's Performance Enhancing Substance Policy. Williams is eligible for reinstatement on December 16. . . . Free agent kicker Justin Tucker had his suspension end on Tuesday after the first 10 weeks of the NFL season. He was suspended for violating the league's personal conduct policy. Tucker is free to sign with any team.
HOT PLAYS
Woody Marks, RB, Texans. Marks played a season-high 80 percent of the snaps last week, emerging as the lead back for the Texans. He scored 16.1 fantasy points and had 81 total yards. Marks has 12-plus fantasy points three of four games, showing good consistency with his larger workload. We like him to play week again this week against the Titans. Marks had a season-high 27.9 fantasy points against the Titans in Week 4. Tennessee has struggled to stop the run all year, allowing the fifth most fantasy points to running backs.
Joe Flacco, QB, Bengals. Flacco is first overall in fantasy quarterback scoring his last three games. He has topped 20 fantasy points all four starts with the Bengals. He had his best game of the season his last time out, throwing for 470 yards and four touchdowns against the Bears. He gets the Steelers this week, a team he scored 29.4 points against in Week 7. Look for more of the same from Flacco in this one, getting the team that allows the seventh most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
George Pickens, WR, Cowboys. Even with CeeDee Lamb back, Pickens continues to post solid numbers. Pickens has at least 13 fantasy points all but Week 1 of the season. He has been targeted nine times two straight and three of four games. He gets a ton of volume and is normally good for a big play or two on a weekly basis. Look for good things from Pickens in Week 11 against the Raiders, a team that allows the fifth most fantasy points to receivers. The Raiders have allowed 30 or more points two of three games.
Rico Dowdle, RB, Panthers. Dowdle is carrying the Panthers offense at this point. He has touchdowns two straight games and 48 touches in those games. Dowdle has 15-plus fantasy points four of six games. The Panthers are leaning on him and he is rewarding them with great play. He can have another big game this week against a Falcons team that does well against the pass but struggles against the run. Atlanta allows the fourth most fantasy points to running backs. Dowdle found the end zone against the Falcons in Week 3.
Jordan Addison, WR, Vikings. Addison had just three catches for 35 yards last week but was targeted 11 times. That is a ton of looks and very encouraging for him going forward despite his poor production for fantasy teams. If he gets double-digit targets again this week, look for big numbers against the Bears. Chicago has been dismal against the pass and allows the sixth most fantasy points to receivers. The Bears have allowed 711-passing yards their last two games. Addison can get it going this week.
COLD PLAYS
Kenneth Walker, RB, Seahawks. Walker continues to split the work at running back with Zach Charbonnet. He does have double-digit carries every game this season but has not had double-digit fantasy points since Week 4. His lack of work in the passing game is really hurting his floor, making him a tough fantasy start. We might steer clear of him this week against a good Rams rush defense. The Rams allow the fewest fantasy points to running backs and haven’t given up fewer than 100-rushing yards three straight and six of seven games.
Bo Nix, QB, Broncos. Nix has played very well at times this year but struggled at times as well. He has fewer than 200-passing yards five times, including two straight games. He scored a season-low 9.5 fantasy points last week against a mediocre Raiders defense. Nix has been a mixed bag this year, failing to take that step forward you had hoped. He could have more tough sledding this week against the Chiefs, a team that allows the 12th fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks. The Chiefs have allowed 200 or fewer passing yards three of four games.
Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. There were high hopes for Worthy this year and he has done some good things at times but just isn’t getting the volume to be a consistent fantasy play. He has less than double-digit fantasy points two of three games. Worthy might be more of a matchup play than an every-week fantasy starter. And a game this week against the Broncos could be a tough one for Worthy. Despite losing top cornerback Patrick Surtain, Denver still allows the fewest fantasy points to receivers. The Broncos have allowed less than 200-passing yards two straight games.
Derrick Henry, RB, Ravens. Henry had 20 carries last week but managed just 75 yards. He is getting a lot of volume but just isn’t having the same success as last year in this offense. His numbers have been more erratic. He has not topped 20 fantasy points in a game since Week 1. Things could be tough again for him this week against the Browns, a team he ran 11 times for 23 yards against in Week 2. Cleveland allows the third fewest fantasy points to running backs on the season.
Tet McMillan, WR, Panthers. McMillan is having a solid rookie year but nothing too special, mainly because the Panthers continue to get erratic quarterback play. McMillan has fewer than double-digit fantasy points two of four games. He gets his weekly looks but his yardage totals have really been held in check, topping 60 yards in a game just one time his last five games. He could have another mediocre game this week against the Falcons. He had three catches for 48 yards on eight targets against Atlanta in week 3. The Falcons allow the seventh fewest fantasy points to receivers.
SLEEPERS
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Steelers. Rodgers hasn’t been much help to fantasy teams outside of a few games. He has less than 20 fantasy points all but two games. But one of his big games came against his opponent this week, the Bengals. He threw for 249 yards and four touchdowns against the Bengals in Week 7. Rodgers had 27.05 fantasy points in that game. So he will be a good streaming play against Cincinnati, a team that allows the fourth most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
Cedric Tillman, WR, Browns. Tillman returned to the lineup last week and played 73 percent of the snaps. He got near his usual starter workload. He had just two receptions for 11 yards on four targets. But he played and got his chances, so the potential is there for the big-play target. Remember, Tillman found the end zone two straight games to start his season, including one against this week’s opponent, the Ravens, before getting injured. Baltimore allows the fourth most fantasy points to receivers and giving up at least 245-passing yards three straight. Tillman might be worth taking a chance on this week.
Kenneth Gainwell, RB, Steelers. Gainwell didn’t have a single carry last week but actually played the most of any Steelers back, playing 52 percent of the snaps. This was his highest snap count since Week 4. If he gets this big of a workload this week against the lowly Bengals, Gainwell might do some damage. The Bengals allow the most fantasy points to running backs and have allowed 250-plus rushing yards two straight games. Gainwell could be worth a shot in this one. He might surprise.
Sean Tucker, RB, Bucs. Tucker didn’t get a ton of work last week but led the Bucs in rushing, running nine times for 53 yards. He was the best back for the Bucs and could get even more work this week with Rachaad White doing little with his chances. Tucker has some potential against the Bills, a team that allows the sixth most fantasy points to running backs. The Bills were torched on the ground by the Dolphins last week, allowing 197-rushing yards.
Noah Fant, TE, Bengals. Fant is emerging as the top target at tight end for the Bengals. He has found the end zone two of three games. He has at least 6.7 fantasy points four straight games, showing a decent floor. Fant plays the Steelers, a team he scored 14.4 fantasy points against in Week 7. He might be a good streaming play against a team that struggles to stop the tight end, allowing the fifth most fantasy points to tight ends.
High/Low Scoring Games
Each week we will take a look at some of the high and low-scoring games for the coming week. In high-scoring affairs, get your marginal players on those teams in your lineup to take advantage of the possible points barrage. And in the low-scoring games, keep those marginal players on the bench and make sure to have your defenses involved in those contests.
High Scoring Games: Bengals/Steelers, Bucs/Bills, 49ers/Cardinals, Cowboys/Raiders, Lions/Eagles.
Low Scoring Games: Jets/Patriots, Panthers/Falcons, Texans/Titans, Ravens/Browns,
Bye Weeks: Colts, Saints.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
New England Patriots wide receiver Mack Hollins caught four of his five targets for 64 yards during Thursday's Week 11 win over the New York Jets. The veteran receiver continues to produce at a high level with teammate Kayshon Boutte (hamstring) sidelined. Hollins now has 19 catches and 268 yards over his last four games, tallying 10+ fantasy points (PPR) in three of those four contests. While we could see his volume get slightly scaled back if Boutte returns in Week 12, there's no denying that Hollins has established himself as one of Drake Maye's favorite targets so far. He should continue to be a mid-to-low WR3/flex for Week 12 against the Cincinnati Bengals.
From RotoBaller
New York Jets wide receiver John Metchie III caught all three of his targets for 45 yards and a touchdown during Thursday's Week 11 loss against the New England Patriots. Metchie played 82.5 percent of the snaps in the defeat, shattering his previous season-high snap share of 16 percent. Thursday's game also featured Metchie's first touchdown this season and just the second of his career. The 25-year-old was presented with increased opportunities to contribute on primetime television after Garrett Wilson (knee) was placed on injured reserve. The Jets may ride the hot hand in the passing game going forward, but Metchie has an early leg up on the rest of his competition. He can be viewed as a low-end WR3/flex in deeper leagues ahead of Week 12 against the Baltimore Ravens.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots wide receiver Stefon Diggs caught nine of his 11 targets for 105 yards during Thursday's Week 11 victory over the New York Jets. The 31-year-old has been terrific lately, and even though his three-game touchdown streak came to an end Thursday, he still has five consecutive games with 10+ fantasy points (PPR). Diggs was on the field for 69.7 percent of the snaps in the victory, eclipsing his previous season-high by more than six percentage points. The increased involvement is a promising sign for fantasy managers, and so, too, is his continued success. The Patriots are on a roll, and their top pass catcher should continue to be deployed as a high-end WR2 heading into next week's battle against the Cincinnati Bengals.
From RotoBaller
New York Jets quarterback Justin Fields completed 15 of his 26 pass attempts for 116 yards, one touchdown, and zero interceptions during Thursday's Week 11 loss against the New England Patriots. He also added 11 rushing attempts, 67 rushing yards, and one rushing touchdown. While Fields had another poor game passing, he salvaged his fantasy performance with a solid rushing performance. It wasn't enough to keep the Jets' win streak alive, but it was likely enough to prompt fantasy managers to consider starting him next week against the Baltimore Ravens. Fields is best viewed as a low-floor, high-ceiling QB2 in fantasy football.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye completed 25 of his 34 pass attempts for 281 yards, one touchdown, and zero interceptions during Thursday's Week 11 win over the New York Jets. He also took one sack and rushed for two yards. The former No. 2 pick didn't have to go above and beyond on Thursday as the Patriots prioritized running the football to beat New York. Nevertheless, Maye still attempted 34 passes and improved his season completion rate by one-fifth of a percentage point. He continues to rank as the highest-scoring quarterback in fantasy football, and he has also propelled his team to sole possession of first place in the NFL standings. Fantasy managers should continue to view Maye as a high-end QB1 heading into Week 12 against the Cincinnati Bengals.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson capitalized on a favorable matchup against the New York Jets in Week 11, scoring three touchdowns as the Patriots became the first team in the NFL to reach nine wins this season. Henderson totaled 19 carries, 62 rushing yards, two rushing touchdowns, five catches, 31 receiving yards, and one receiving touchdown. While he remained relatively inefficient in terms of yards per carry, he dominated in nearly every other category. Henderson took advantage of an increased workload with Rhamondre Stevenson (toe) sidelined, handling a career-high 88 percent snap share and 24 total touches. Stevenson is getting closer to returning, but the rookie has proven that he deserves to be the lead back even when Stevenson is healthy. Henderson should continue to be viewed as a high-end RB2 in fantasy football.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots defensive tackle Milton Williams (ankle) has been ruled out for the remainder of Thursday's Week 11 contest against the New York Jets. Williams briefly exited early in the game, and while he did get back into the contest during the first half, he left again and has since been ruled out. According to the Amazon Prime broadcast, the veteran lineman only played eight snaps as the Patriots tested his injury before choosing to keep him out of the game. Cory Durden should continue to earn more snaps in his absence. Williams is a talented, veteran defender, and the fact that he tried to re-enter the contest should leave fans optimistic that he could suit up in Week 12.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars tight end Brenton Strange (hip) was a limited participant in practice for the second day in a row on Thursday. Strange remains on injured reserve, but he was designated to return earlier this week, triggering a 21-day window in which he can practice without being officially activated. The 24-year-old's practice participation leaves his status for Week 11 up in the air. Being limited is a step in the right direction, but the Jaguars could choose to wait to activate him until he's 100 percent. Whenever he does return, he'll rank as a low-end TE1, earning a solid target share with Travis Hunter (knee) sidelined and Brian Thomas Jr. (ankle) underperforming. Strange had 19 catches for 182 yards through his first four games earlier this year.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tory Horton (groin, shin) did not practice on Thursday. The rookie had logged a limited session on Wednesday, and it seemed like he was trending in the right direction, but his downgraded status on Thursday is not a good sign. He'll likely need to get back on the field in some capacity on Friday in order to have any chance of playing in Week 11 against the Los Angeles Rams. The rookie impressed in his last game with four catches, 48 yards, and two touchdowns, but he has since fallen down a rung on the depth chart after Seattle acquired Rashid Shaheed. Although Horton is a high-upside dynasty stash, he's not a reliable redraft option at the moment.
From RotoBaller
Denver Broncos wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (concussion) was a full participant in practice again on Thursday. The 23-year-old posted inconsistent results when healthy earlier this season, operating behind Courtland Sutton and Troy Franklin. Mims performs best in big-play scenarios and special teams returns, but he's shown some trouble consistently producing ahead of Sutton and Franklin. The 23-year-old is expected to play in Week 11 against the Kansas City Chiefs, but he'll merely rank as a WR5.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans wide receiver Calvin Ridley (hamstring) was a limited participant in practice again on Thursday. The veteran receiver is trying to work his way back from a hamstring injury that he suffered in Week 6. Tennessee's pass catchers haven't missed a beat since Ridley went down, as Chimere Dike has 12 catches for 168 yards since then, and Elic Ayomanor has nine catches for 127 yards. The Titans continue to struggle on both sides of the ball, but a high frequency of negative game scripts has left Tennessee's receivers in a relatively favorable fantasy position. The two rookies are low-end WR3/flex options, while Ridley can be benched in most leagues.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. (ankle) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice. The 23-year-old is trying to work his way back from a high-ankle sprain that caused him to miss Week 10. He has been significantly underwhelming during his second pro season, catching 30 passes for 420 yards and one touchdown through eight games. While the season-ending injury to Travis Hunter (knee) seemed like it could open the door for Thomas to get more involved, Jacksonville addressed that issue by trading for Jakobi Meyers. Parker Washington has also seen an increase in volume. As a result, Thomas remains an inconsistent fantasy option, even when he's healthy enough to play again. Managers should view him as a WR2 with a low floor.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots defensive tackle Milton Williams (ankle) exited during the first quarter of Thursday's Week 11 contest against the New York Jets. He is officially listed as questionable to return. He did not register a statistic prior to his departure. The veteran defensive lineman was one of the Patriots' key acquisitions last offseason, and he has lived up to the hype with 27 tackles and 3.5 sacks so far. The 26-year-old's absence is bad news for the New England defense as it looks to contain the Jets' run-heavy offense. Cory Durden should earn more snaps with Williams listed as questionable.
From RotoBaller
ESPN's Rich Cimini reports that New York Jets quarterback Justin Fields "could be playing for his job" on Thursday night versus the division-rival New England Patriots. Fields has four sub-100-yard passing games (most in the league), including three in the last four games. The 26-year-old signal-caller has led the Jets to two straight wins, but he's going to need to perform better to hold off veteran QB Tyrod Taylor moving forward. It's not going to be easy on Thursday evening against an 8-2 Patriots team, especially with receivers Garrett Wilson (knee) and Josh Reynolds (hip) on Injured Reserve. Fields has completed only 63.5% of his 178 pass attempts for 1,143 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception in eight starts. He has limited turnovers, but he's also attempted fewer runs. Fields might need to go off as a rusher to save his job in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
New York Jets wide receiver Adonai Mitchell will make his debut with the team in Week 11 in the Thursday night divisional game versus the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. The Jets acquired Mitchell at last week's trade deadline in the deal that sent star cornerback Sauce Gardner to the Indianapolis Colts. Mitchell was a healthy scratch in last week's win over the Cleveland Browns, but now he'll make his debut for Gang Green, and he could immediately have a big role in New York with both Garrett Wilson (knee) and Josh Reynolds (hip) currently on Injured Reserve. The 23-year-old former second-rounder has big-play potential, but he's still looking for his first NFL touchdown after dropping a would-be long touchdown earlier this year, right before he crossed the goal line with the Colts. Mitchell is worth a deep-league flier for his opportunity in his new digs.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots running back Terrell Jennings (knee), who was listed as questionable this week, is officially active for the Thursday Night Football contest in Week 11 against the division-rival New York Jets. Jennings suffered a bruised knee in the Week 10 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and is good to go on Thursday evening. Rhamondre Stevenson (toe) will miss his third straight game, so Jennings should once again see an elevated role in New England's backfield as the change-of-pace weapon behind rookie TreVeyon Henderson. The 24-year-old Jennings saw double-digit touches in Week 10 against the Atlanta Falcons, but fantasy managers in deeper leagues cannot count on that again on a short week with Jennings coming off an injury, especially after Henderson had 147 yards and two touchdowns on 14 carries last week.
From RotoBaller
The New York Jets are expected to start Justin Fields at quarterback on Thursday night against the division-rival New England Patriots, according to Albert Breer. Although the expectation is that Fields would make another start under center for the Jets after winning a second straight game in Week 10, head coach Aaron Glenn refused to make an official announcement. Fields' last game against the Patriots was at Gillette in 2022 when he played for the Chicago Bears, and he led them to a 33-14 win, throwing for 179 yards and a touchdown while rushing for 82 yards and another score. Fields hasn't been great in his first year with the Jets in eight starts, but he hasn't had much to work with through the air, and now top wideout Garrett Wilson (knee) is on Injured Reserve. Unless Fields can run all over the Pats again on Thursday night, it might be another rough fantasy showing for the former first-rounder.
From RotoBaller
Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Tyler Lockett (knee) is on the team's Week 11 injury report after he was limited in the first practice of the week on Thursday due to a knee injury, according to Paul Gutierrez of ESPN. In his second game with the Raiders in last Thursday's loss to the Denver Broncos, Lockett played 57% of the offensive snaps and had season-highs in catches (five), targets (six), and receiving yards (44) in a game that featured very little offense. The 33-year-old veteran is a little banged up going into a Week 11 Monday night matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, but he should be able to suit up as long as he doesn't have a setback with his knee on Friday or Saturday. The Raiders' offense has been extremely lackluster, especially in the passing game, but Lockett has chemistry with quarterback Geno Smith from their time in Seattle and should continue to be involved alongside Tre Tucker and tight end Brock Bowers. Lockett could be a sneaky flex target in a great matchup against Dallas' D.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Chargers rookie first-round running back Omarion Hampton (ankle) was seen working off on a side field with a trainer again on Thursday, according to Kris Rhim of ESPN. Hampton last played in Week 5 and remains on Injured Reserve due to a high-ankle sprain, but he appears to be making progress in his recovery and could have his 21-day practice window opened by the Chargers soon. The 22-year-old will not return in Week 11 against the Jacksonville Jaguars before the team goes on their bye in Week 12. Depending on how much progress Hampton can make in the next couple weeks, though, he could have a chance to make his return for a divisional clash at home against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 13 on Sunday, Nov. 30. Before his injury, Hampton was in line to be a workhorse for the Bolts after Najee Harris' (Achilles) season-ending surgery. Hampton should not be floating around on any waiver wires.
From RotoBaller
Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Geno Smith (quadriceps) is not included on the Week 11 injury report as the team gets ready to face the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football, according to the team's website. Smith was in some pain last Thursday night against the Denver Broncos when he suffered a bruised quadriceps, and he was even replaced in the game for a bit by Kenny Pickett. The 35-year-old eventually returned to finish the 10-7 loss, but he was hobbling around pretty good. The extra time off heading into Week 11 appears to have done the veteran QB some good, and he should be fine to play against Dallas on Monday after practicing in full on Wednesday. Smith has mostly been a liability for fantasy managers in his first year in Vegas, but he'll have some QB2 streaming appeal this week against a bad Cowboys secondary.
From RotoBaller